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Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC Prediction - Sunday, 4 October 2026

Competition: Canadian Premier League

Date: Sunday, 4 October 2026

Kickoff Time: 04:00 (GMT+8)

Last Updated: 2026-10-05T08:01:26.298Z

AI Match Analysis Summary

BB9SPORTS AI predicts Supra du Quebec Win (1) for this Canadian Premier League clash between Supra du Quebec and Pacific FC on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Our ensemble machine learning model assigns a 57% probability to a home win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an away victory. The expected goals model forecasts 2.1 xG for Supra du Quebec and 1.2 xG for Pacific FC, totaling 3.4 expected goals. Confidence level: Medium. Recommended Market: Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw). Analysis based on recent form, historical head-to-head data, team strength ratings, and real-time odds from major bookmakers.

BB9SPORTS AI Pre-Match Prediction

Predicted Match Result (1X2)

AI Prediction: Supra du Quebec Win (1)

Confidence Level: Medium

Recommended Market: Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw)

1X2 Win Probabilities

Home Win (1) - Supra du Quebec: 57%
Draw (X): 21%
Away Win (2) - Pacific FC: 21%

Expected Goals (xG)

Supra du Quebec: 2.14 xG

Pacific FC: 1.25 xG

Total Expected Goals: 3.39

Model Last Updated: 2026-10-03T04:45:49.314Z

Pre-Match Betting Odds (Bet365)

1X2 Match Result Odds

Home Win (Supra du Quebec): 1.57
Draw: 3.90
Away Win (Pacific FC): 4.50

Over/Under 0.5 Goals

Over 0.5: 1.00
Under 0.5: 21.00

Asian Handicap 0

Supra du Quebec (0): 1.27
Pacific FC (+0): 3.55

Odds Last Updated: 2026-10-04T15:38:35.436Z

Betting Value Analysis

BB9SPORTS AI compares model probabilities against market odds to identify value bets. When our AI probability is higher than the implied probability from bookmaker odds, this indicates potential value.

Home Win Edge: AI 57% vs Market 64% implied

Away Win Edge: AI 21% vs Market 22% implied

AI Prematch Analysis — Pre-Lineup

Supra du Quebec are the favourites at 57.4% to win, against 21.4% for the draw and 21.1% for Pacific FC. The model rates them as the better side and expects a fairly open game, with both teams to score at 63.3% and over 2.5 goals at 65.8%. No quote among the 82 examined shows a positive edge, so the goals markets are the most interesting to watch, but this is not a value spot.

The gap between these sides is clear in the standings. Supra du Quebec sit sixth on 25 points from 23 games, while Pacific FC are eighth on 14 points, with just 2 wins and 8 draws. Supra's record is far from convincing, with 12 defeats and 44 goals conceded. But Pacific have been the weaker and more draw-prone side, and they have conceded 47. That is why the model makes Supra clear favourites at 57.4% rather than a narrow call. The head-to-head record points the same way. Supra won both of the last two away trips to Pacific by a single goal each, and the home fixture in June was a 1-1 draw. These were tight matches, which fits the model's view that the visitors are competitive but rarely come out ahead. The goals picture is more interesting than the result. Expected goals total 3.39, with 2.142 for the hosts and 1.245 for Pacific, and the main goal line is 3.5. Both defences leak, and Pacific's scoring is respectable for a bottom-half side, so this looks like a game where both sides get chances. That is why 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline at 9.7%, closely followed by 1-1 at 9.5%. A 2-0 home win comes next at 7.8%, then 3-1 at 6.9%. No scoreline is dominant, which is normal in a match with this much goal expectation. The market view is less encouraging. The main Asian handicap is -0.75 and the bookmaker margin is 10.7%, which is large. Only one bookmaker is quoting, so there is no wider market to cross-check against. Of the 82 quotes examined, none shows a positive edge, and the best is only -0.5%, on the away side of the -1 Asian handicap. Because the bookmaker's margin makes the two sides of any pair of prices sum to a negative edge, a few small positives would always be a local effect rather than a broad signal. Here even those are absent, so the model and the market largely agree, and the margin is what separates them. One limit on all of this: lineups have not been published, so the analysis takes no account of player absences. A late change to either starting eleven, especially in attack or in goal, could move the goal expectations. The numbers should be treated as a baseline, not a final read. In short, Supra are the likelier winners and the goals markets look the most active, but the prices give no clear reason to back either side.

Home Win: 57.4%, Draw: 21.4%, Away Win: 21.1%

Expected Goals: 3.4 (Home xG: 2.14, Away xG: 1.25)

Most Likely Score: 2-1

Over 2.5: 65.8%, BTTS: 63.3%