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Levante II vs Crevillente Prediction - Sunday, 4 October 2026

Competition: Spanish Tercera División RFEF - Group 6

Date: Sunday, 4 October 2026

Kickoff Time: 22:00 (GMT+8)

Last Updated: 2026-10-05T09:22:24.236Z

AI Match Analysis Summary

BB9SPORTS AI predicts Levante II Win (1) for this Spanish Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 clash between Levante II and Crevillente on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Our ensemble machine learning model assigns a 58% probability to a home win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an away victory. The expected goals model forecasts 1.8 xG for Levante II and 0.9 xG for Crevillente, totaling 2.7 expected goals. Confidence level: Medium. Analysis based on recent form, historical head-to-head data, team strength ratings, and real-time odds from major bookmakers.

BB9SPORTS AI Pre-Match Prediction

Predicted Match Result (1X2)

AI Prediction: Levante II Win (1)

Confidence Level: Medium

1X2 Win Probabilities

  • Home Win (1) - Levante II: 58%
  • Draw (X): 24%
  • Away Win (2) - Crevillente: 18%

Expected Goals (xG)

Levante II: 1.80 xG

Crevillente: 0.88 xG

Total Expected Goals: 2.68

Model Last Updated: 2026-10-03T22:56:07.893Z

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AI Prematch Analysis — Pre-Lineup

Levante II are the market's favourites at home, with a clear but not overwhelming lead: roughly a 58.5% home win against 17.6% for Crevillente. The more interesting angle is the goals market, where the model sits very slightly above the price on overs around the 2.5 line, though the margins are thin.

Levante II come in as the favourites mainly because of the way the market prices the two sides' scoring. The home side is given a goal expectation of about 1.8 against 0.88 for the visitors, which is where the main handicap at -0.75 and the roughly 58.5% home-win figure come from. That tilt is backed by early-season form: Levante II sit seventh with 7 points from four games, have scored 5 and conceded just 2, and have not lost at home. Crevillente are one place behind in eighth, but their profile is different. They are unbeaten, yet three of their four games were draws and their goals-against column (5) is much leakier than the hosts'. That combination, solid at the back for one side and draw-heavy and porous for the other, explains why the draw is priced at about 24% and the away win is pushed down to under 18%. The scoreline distribution is tight and low-scoring in character. A 1-0, 1-1 or 2-0 are each around an 11% proposition, and the total sits at roughly 2.68 expected goals, so the 2.5 line is close to a coin flip, with both teams to score just under even. In other words, the model leans to a home win but does not see a blowout. On value, it is worth being careful. Of 239 quotes examined, only 4 show a positive edge, and the best is just 1.8%. Every two-way market carries the bookmaker's margin, so the two sides of any line cannot both be positive; most prices here are negative by design. The small positives, such as the first-half over 1 and the full-time over 2.5 at 2.05, are slight deviations from the market rather than evidence of mispricing, and a 1-2% gap is well within the noise of a model estimate. These are also quotes that are about 17 hours old, so prices may have moved. A final limitation: lineups have not been announced, so nothing here accounts for absences or rotation. For a reserve side like Levante II, whose squad can shift depending on what the first team needs, that is a meaningful unknown, and the numbers should be revisited once team news is out.

Home Win: 58.5%, Draw: 24.0%, Away Win: 17.6%

Expected Goals: 2.7 (Home xG: 1.80, Away xG: 0.88)

Most Likely Score: 1-0

Over 2.5: 50.1%, BTTS: 49.4%

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Levante II vs Crevillente
Spanish Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 · Oct 4, 2026

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